MMA ODDS AND ENDS FOR TUESDAY: VALÉRIE LÉTOURNEAU OFFICIALLY SIGNS WITH BELLATOR, TOM BREESE INJURED

Weekly, this is not going to happen — or can it be? We pinpointed all three of our Week 2 NFL picks here at the home office, and it was magnificent. But let’s be fair; these games are 54/46 or perhaps 53/47 coin moves even when we’re doing our job correctly. We could have whiffed on those three. Keep choppin’ wood.

Speaking of which, next up is Thursday’s all-AFC South matchup (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL) between the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars. Depending on where you store, the Titans started at anywhere between PK and –2.5 on the NFL odds board; that is at different degrees of vigorish, obviously. We’ll sort out that .

To begin with, which side do we want? If we hammer that 40-point total, and/or? It is a total that is low but the consensus reports that are early reveal 63 percent of bettors taking the’under,’ in comparison service to the Jags. Let’s dig the layers back, and yadda yadda.
Power Station
Sadly, Monday implies we don’t possess the Week 3 projections of Jeff Sagarin to use however, but the nice folks at FiveThirtyEight believe Tennessee is good enough to become a 5-point street fave inside this contest. Well now. If we had an instant source to make our journalism complete.

Oh, yeah: the Football Power Index of ESPN. They have the Titans winning 60.9% of the moment, which translates into a fair Moneyline of –156 with the delicious SBR Odds Converter. And that’s a shade higher compared to 3 to get an equivalent vig-free disperse, based on Wizard of Odds. Pretty good for the street team.
Cents and Sensibility
We don’t need to bore you all year with parsing the spreads that are various at different vigs, but we’ll do it one more time to this match, which means that you may find it out for yourself next time. The concept is to find the very best price you can. Very, very sparse. Like graphene.

Here’s the juice available at press time for each spread on the plank:

Sportbet: Titans PK (–123)
Matchbook: Titans –1.5 (–103)
bet365: Titans –2 (–105)

Immediately, we can throw out Titans –two, because you need to pay additional juice to have that extra half-point of risk. Comparing the remaining two lines employing the scintillating SBR Half-Point Calculator, we discover that –1.5 (–103) is roughly the same as PK (–114). Yet again, it compels us to choose the danger at the juice.

Free NFL Pick: Titans –1.5 (–103) at Matchbook
Jason’s 2019 NFL picks record through Week two: 2-0 ATS, 2-0 Totals