NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For the first time this season, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of the year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 chance to get it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders in this .75-mile short course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his blood. Now, his version mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we could tell you that the model is top on Kyle Larson, making a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He will start in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the speed needed to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week at Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex has not fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The version can also be targeting two other drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.